Housing recovery is “in a precarious state,” says Robert Shiller

A sharp drop in pending home sales for January is the latest in a string of reports calling into question the nascent rebound in housing.
The housing recovery is “in a precarious state,” says Robert Shiller, Yale professor, author and co-creator of the S&P Case-Shiller Index, taking a much more pessimistic view vs. his comments here last July.

Shiller’s eponymous index, which has risen for seven straight months through December, “shows some weakening of the upward burst” from last year, but is still going up on a seasonally-adjusted basis, the professor says. “If I were to forecast based on my usual models of years ago I would think we’ve turned a corner, we’ve bottomed and we’re turning up.”

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